Water Astra ClericTier 2
at EVO Japan Regional
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-1-1
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
75.6%
avg ELO +11.8 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1156
Q3 1313
1688
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Cleric decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
